There have been numerous media stories on the latest poll which was conducted
by Angus Reid … one
of those was in the Vancouver Sun.
Latest Angus-Reid Poll |
This story, as has been noted by other media organizations says that, “…
the BC Liberals have dropped 12 percentage points since March, when Clark was
sworn into office.”
It also indicates that, “In the same seven-or-so-month period, John
Cummins' BC Conservatives have gained 13 percentage points, giving the party
its highest level of support in recent months.”
Good so far … but here’s the part that I disagree with:
“Benefiting from the right-wing
split, the New Democratic Party now enjoys a nine-point lead over the BC
Liberals, up considerably from March when Angus Reid found the Liberals to be
leading by five percentage points.”
There is NO right-wing split that is benefiting the NDP. The fact of the matter is that the NDP only gained
a paltry 2%. And why is that important? It’s important because you should know what
the margin of error in this Angus Reid poll is.
The details at the end of their report, which can be found by clicking HERE,
says that the sampling variability is +/- 3.5%.
- that means that instead of being up 2%, the NDP could actually be down -1.5% from the last poll.
- it means the BC Liberals Party could actually be DOWN a FURTHER 3.5%
- and … it means the BC Conservative Party could in fact 3.5% higher
That however is PURE SPECULATION on my part --- and really that is what
polls are. Polls are a brief snapshot for a very specific
period of time … and they represent what people felt at that exact moment.
Here’s the real reason why I think this poll is important however. There have now been 4 consecutive polls
conducted by the Mustel and by Angus Reid --- ALL OF THEM have shown the BC
Conservative Party climbing in support.
This particular Angus Reid poll also points out an interesting fact
concerning previous Liberal and NDP support
… The New Democrats are holding on
to 84 per cent of the voters that supported the party in the 2009 provincial
election, while the BC Liberals are only keeping two thirds of their past
voters (67%). In fact, one-in-five BC
Liberals voters in 2009 (21%) are currently supporting the BC Conservatives.
YES … the BC Liberal Party has lost a huge number of previous
supporters --- BUT the NDP is losing support as well.
So what is happening out in the political landscape of this
province?? The only constant during the past year --- and
over 4 consecutive polls --- is that the BC Conservative Party is gaining both
support AND momentum!
And how do the BC Liberals interpret things?? In Victoria Liberal MLA Mary Polak was quoted
as saying ..."A vote for John Cummins is
basically a vote for premier Dix … in British Columbia there is one free
enterprise alternative that can ensure that the NDP don't take office ever
again in this province, that's the BC Liberals led by Premier Christy Clark.”
HERE’S WHAT PEOPLE NEED TO KNOW … a
vote for John Cummins WILL NOT be a vote for the NDP!
A vote for John Cummins and the BC Conservative Party candidates will
be a vote for common sense policies … it will be a vote for MLA’s who will be
accountable to the people who have elected them … it will be a vote to end the
lies and deceit we have had dumped on us with this current Christy Clark led BC
Liberal government.
It will about the end of lies and deceit where we saw the BC Liberals implement
the HST … around the sale of BCR … around taxpayers holding the bag for the legal
costs of Basi & Virk, while the government refuses to hold an inquiry into the whole
stinking mess that had the RCMP in the legislature building hauling out boxes
of records and files!
It will mean the end of government chicanery that is being
used to move money around within BC Hydro to make it appear profitable, when in
fact BC Hydro is being driven into bankruptcy.
It will be about not just ending huge bonuses being paid to the executives of government ministries, crown corporations, and agencies like BC Hydro, BC Ferries, and CLBC … but ending a culture where that was acceptable!
A vote in the next provincial election for John Cummins, and BC
Conservative candidates throughout the province, will be an end to a tax and spend BC Liberal
government -- one that is little
more than “NDP Light”.
A news story on the CBC is saying, “ … it is the B.C. Conservatives who
are making the most gains since Premier Christy Clark took over the reigns of
the B.C. Liberal Party from former premier Gordon Campbell last winter.”
Their story also quotes pollster Mario Conseco saying, “The B.C.
Conservatives have increased their standing dramatically, particularly in the
southern Interior and the north. The Tories have attracted a large proportion
of former B.C. Liberal supporters …”
John Cummins and the BC Conservatives are attracting not just marginal supporters
of the BC Liberals however … they are also attracting those in the 50% who have
become disengaged from the political system … and from the 16% of voters that
NO LONGER support the NDP as well.
BC Conservatives are giving them hope that there actually is a political
party that is dedicated to being accountable to the voters, taxpayers, and the people
of BC.
There’s a good reason why that CBC News story had this headline … “BC Conservatives surge in latest poll”. It’s because at last British Columbians are
able to see there is a common sense alternative.
John Cummins is saying and
thinking the kinds of things that are resonating with British Columbians:
“While the government wastes money on bonuses
and photo-ops the Premier plans on trying to negotiate with the federal
government on the costs of enforcing the law. The criminal justice system is
one of the primary responsibilities of the provincial government and it would
be a priority under a new BC Conservative government.”
“It is no coincidence that BC is now losing
people to other provinces since under the Liberals the average family in BC now
pays more taxes and makes less income than any province west of Quebec.”
“What the BC parents and children need is an
independent body free from influence of both the BCTF and the Ministry of
Education – neither of which has an interest in exposing failing or incompetent
teachers. This is the sort of reform a new BC Conservative government would
bring – we will stand up for children and not the special interests like the
Liberals and the NDP.”
“It is becoming abundantly clear that
‘families first’ is simply a slogan to buy votes for Premier Clark. Otherwise,
why would her government continue with such irresponsible policies that will
leave future generations paying for the Liberal government’s inability to act
with prudence?”
“The Liberals continue to demonstrate that
they feel that public safety is not worth the money. The Liberal government has
made clear with their recent cuts to sheriffs and prosecutors in the province
that tackling crime is not a concern of theirs.”
”At a time of economic difficulty people not
only want to hear there is hope, they need a plan that gives them real
solutions. This week the Liberal government has fallen far short on providing
leadership in these tough economic times.”
“The new BC Conservatives are the only party
committed to reducing the tax burden on the middle class. We will scrap the
carbon tax, stop the new 2 cent per litre gas tax for the lower mainland, and
get spending under control by cutting wasteful spending.”
I conclude with the following words spoken by John Cummins in recent
weeks:
“Every British Columbian deserves a real choice in the next provincial election. As you can see, Premier Clark and the NDP share the same vision for British Columbia. I am here with the new BC Conservatives to provide a common sense, mainstream choice, for all British Columbians.”
“Every British Columbian deserves a real choice in the next provincial election. As you can see, Premier Clark and the NDP share the same vision for British Columbia. I am here with the new BC Conservatives to provide a common sense, mainstream choice, for all British Columbians.”
He is right --- and THAT IS WHY people are indeed turning to the BC Conservative
Party --- as this poll today from Angus Reid clearly shows.
I’m Alan Forseth in Kamloops, with the thought of one conservative.
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